Many private households in Germany take it for granted that rental properties are an attractive investment category for themselves, i.e. for so-called “small landlords” (jargon of the Federal Statistical Office) in terms of returns and risks. We question this truism and come to a different conclusion. It is noticeable in this context that neither science nor the real estate industry publish reli
able figures on the historical returns on equity of private real estate investors.
Almost 60% of the more than 24 million rented apartments in Germany belong to private individuals or "small landlords", as the Federal Statistical Office calls those landlords who only operate the residential property rental business in a modest way - by renting out only one or a few residential units as a non-full-time occupation. The other ten million or so rental apartments are owned by professional and commercial providers, including the largest, Vonovia SE, based in Düsseldorf. Vonovia is a listed real estate company, a member of the DAX index and manages around 500,000 rental apartments, most of which it owns.
Nobody will doubt that the purpose of a rented property from the landlord's point of view is to generate a satisfactory return that is reasonable in relation to the risk of the investment. However, there are doubts as to whether small private landlords actually achieve these satisfactory returns on average. Since the onset of the residential property euphoria in Germany from around 2013, the guidebooks on the subject of “getting rich with real estate” do not change this assessment. Particularly noticeable is the complete absence of serious data on historical returns and risks in the case of guidebooks and Internet sites on the rental business for private households. Many of these publications fall into the category of "investment pornography" such as "Richer than the Geissens: Become a real estate millionaire with zero euro start-up capital in five years", "The basics of real estate investment: Why real estate is so phenomenally lucrative" or "In 180 days to become a real estate professional ”.
Such I-make-you-rich messages and books flood the investor market in a flood after a certain asset class has experienced a few above-average years in a row. At the beginning of the 90s it was tax-driven "builder models" in the new federal states, at the end of the 90s it was technology and internet stocks, from 2008 to 2012 it was gold and today it is (again) residential real estate. These get-rich-quick publications and the underlying investments are mainly consumed after the largest part of the boom has already passed and entry takes place at a more expensive and thus also riskier and lower-income level. For late entrants, this risk materialized badly in the first three examples mentioned from the mid-1990s (builder models), from the beginning of 2000 (technology shares) and from the beginning of 2013 (gold).
In view of the high proportion of private landlords in Germany, one could assume that the rental of residential properties by private individuals, i.e. small landlords, is a lucrative business. After all, the four million private real estate investors cannot be wrong. Or maybe yes?