kendrickmonster
10+ Views

There's a 98% chance of a global recession, research firm warns

Warning lights are flashing in the global economy as high inflation, drastic rate hikes and the war in Ukraine take their toll.
There is currently a 98.1% chance of a global recession, according to a probability model run by Ned Davis Research.
The only other times that recession model was this high has been during severe economic downturns, most recently in 2020 and during the global financial crisis of 2008 and 2009.
“This indicates that the risk of a severe global recession is rising for some time in 2023,” economists at Ned Davis Research wrote in a report last Friday.
As central banks ramp up their efforts to get inflation under control, economists and investors are growing gloomier.
Seven out of 10 economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum consider a global recession at least somewhat likely, according to a report published Wednesday. Economists dialed back their forecasts for growth and expect inflation-adjusted wages to keep falling the rest of this year and next.
Given surging food and energy prices, there are concerns that the high cost of living could lead to pockets of unrest. Seventy-nine percent of the economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum expect rising prices to trigger social unrest in low-income countries, compared to a 20% expectation in high-income economies.
Investors are also getting more concerned, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average sinking into a bear market Monday for the first time since March 2020.
“Our central case is a hard landing by the end of ’23,” billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said at the CNBC Delivering Alpha Investor Summit Wednesday. “I will be stunned if we don’t have a recession in ’23.”
Even Federal Reserve officials have conceded there is a growing risk of a downturn.
Still, there are clearly bright spots, especially in the United States, the world’s largest economy.
The US jobs market remains historically strong, with the unemployment rate sitting near the lowest levels since 1969. Consumers continue to spend money and corporate profits are sturdy.
There are also hopes that the worst US inflation in 40 years will cool off in the coming months as supply catches up with demand.
The Ned Davis researchers said that although recession risks are rising, its US recession probability model is “still at rock-bottom levels.”
“We do not have conclusive evidence that the US is currently in recession,” the researchers wrote in the report.

Comment
Suggested
Recent
Cards you may also be interested in
Buy Kamagra 100mg: Get Cheap Kamagra 100mg Without a Prescription at Cheap Price | Sildenafil Citrate
Buy Kamagra 100mg | Sildenafil Citrate Tablets | Christmas Deals USA ED (Erectile Dysfunction) is a major form of male impotency issue. It is important to deal with the issue so that men are able to lead happy love lives. If you're looking to buy cheap Kamagra 100mg online availble in USA, Australia and UK at low cost? LocalMedStore is one of the top-rated online pharmacies to buy Kamagra 100mg at cheapest cost with hasslefree home delivery. Kamagra is a medicine often prescribed by doctors to tackle this issue. As a user of Kamagra medicine, you should know all facts. Here we have shared some information about Kamagra medicine that users should know. The facts shared will clear several of your doubts regarding Kamagra medicine. What is the Main Constituent of Kamagra Medicine? Kamagra medicine has Sildenafil Citrate 100mg as the main constituent. This is the main ingredient in many of the top ED medicines. The constituent works as a PDE5 inhibitor. PDE5 hormone is responsible for rush of blood into the male organ during arousal in potent men. In some men, this hormone behaves abnormally preventing the rush of blood. That is when Kamagra can be used to inhibit the action of this hormone for a couple of hours. How much time does Kamagra take to show its effect? Sildenafil Citrate in Kamagra medicine shows its effect as soon as it mingles with the blood stream. This could take around half an hour. Doctors suggest a light meal so that the medicine mingles with the blood stream sooner. The effect of the Kamagra medicine can stay for 4-5 hours. Are there side effects of Kamagra Medicine? Like all medicines, Kamagra also may pose some side effects. Here we have shared a list: The medicine may cause nausea, vomiting and gastric health issues in first-time users. The medicine may cause fatigue and dizziness in some. There have also been complaints of temporary colour blindness in rare instances. The medicine may cause facial flushing and skin rashes. Some people have also complained of headaches and mood changes. It is important to consult your doctor if you encounter any side effects. He may suggest whether you should alter the dosage or go with another medication. Are there any drug interactions of Kamagra medicine? Yes, the medicine should not be consumed by people on nitrite medicines. There could be serious drug interactions. The medicine should also not be prescribed to people allergic to Sildenafil Citrate. This is the main constituent in Kamagra medicine. Is it safe to buy Kamagra medicine online? Yes, it is safe to buy Kamagra medicine online. Here are some measures you may follow to prevent online frauds: Always purchase medicine from licensed and authorised online retailers. Check reviews and feedback from past users. Make sure to check shipping policy to ensure medicines are delivered to your area. Check the online reputation of the retailer before placing your order online. How to save money while purchasing Kamagra online? There are some simple tips to help you save money on online purchase of Kamagra medicine. Here they are: Purchase from online stores that offer free shipping for bulk orders. Look for special discounts for regular customers. Buy from online pharmacies that allow you to refer friends and get discounts. Buy from stores that allow purchase using toll-free online wallets.
BBO nonlinear crystal
Barium borate is an inorganic substance with the chemical formula Ba( BO2) 2. It can exist as a hydrate, a dehydrated form, a white powder, or an anemic crystal. There are 2 various types of heat phase (α-BBO) as well as low temperature phase (β-BBO), and also the phase transition temperature is 925 ℃. 1. α-BBO β-BBO crystal growth has actually been researched for greater than twenty years, and has actually ended up being an extremely extensively utilized nonlinear optical material, while α-BBO has been less researched. α-BBO is an optimal UV birefringent crystal with facility symmetry as well as non-linear effect, but it has a good birefringence index, specifically in the ultraviolet band with a high transmission proportion (95%), passage range of 189nm ~ 35000nm, secure physical and also chemical properties, excellent mechanical properties. Application α-BBO crystals have exceptional optical residential properties such as huge refractive index and also vast passage variety, and are widely utilized in optical deflection modern technology, high power laser and ultrafast laser applications. It is mainly used to make ultraviolet polarization prisms such as Grantler prism, Wollaston prism, high power optical isolator and team speed mismatch compensator of ultrafast laser. 2. β-BBO BBO is a common nonlinear optical crystal. Nonlinear optical crystal is a kind of crystalline product which uses the nonlinear action of light wave polarization when it passes through the medium to respond on the light wave, resulting in harmonic generation (nonlinear result) at the amount frequency, difference frequency and so forth. BBO nonlinear crystal is identified as one of the excellent 2nd order nonlinear optical crystals in the world. Nonlinear property Nonlinear optical crystals are those that show more than quadratic nonlinear optical impacts to laser extreme electric area. Nonlinear optical crystal is a type of functional product, in which frequency doubling (or "regularity conversion") crystal can be utilized to transform laser wavelength, so as to expand the tunable variety of laser, which has crucial application worth in laser technology area.
Cheap MTP Kit: Abortion Pill treatment at home - Safe & Effective
Cheap MTP Kit | Cheap Deals in USA | Benefits of MTP Kit Looking to buy Cheap MTP Kit (Unwanted Kit Online) online in USA, Australia, and UK with non-prescription at low cost ? LocalMedStore is one of the top-rated online pharmacy in USA, and Australia to buy Cheap MTP Kit without prescription and get doorstep delivery without any hassle. Abortion pill (Cheap MTP Kit) is a medication that can be used to induce labor and terminate a pregnancy. It is used in combination with misoprostol (also commonly known as Cytotec or Mifepristone) which prevents the production of prostaglandins and thus allows for an easier induction of abortion. The abortion procedure takes about 3 days, after which you will have heavy bleeding which lasts for up to 12 hours following each menstrual period during which time it should not be continued without medical supervision due to risk of infection or hemorrhage (bleeding too much blood). Question 1: How long does it take for the bleeding and cramping to start? The bleeding and cramping can start within an hour or two, but it's often not until later that you'll feel the need to use the second dose. If you don't pass clots after two hours (or if you do and they're still in your uterus), then use another 4 pills of Mifepristone—the abortion pill (aka RU-486). If you are still pregnant after the second dose, then contact your doctor immediately so that he/she can determine whether there's anything else that can be done for you. Answer: The pregnancy bleeding can begin after taking mifepristone. You may start to bleed after taking mifepristone. This bleeding can continue for up to two hours after the abortion pill has been taken. If you don't start bleeding within this time frame, talk with your doctor or call a hotline for more information about what to do next. If you are having trouble getting pregnant from sex, there are ways that can help increase your chances of getting pregnant again: Consistently using birth control (such as condoms) Trying another form of birth control such as an intrauterine device (IUD) or implantation hormone treatment (IGT) Question 2: What if I don't pass any clots or bleeding doesn’t start after two hours after taking misoprostol tablet? If you don't pass any clots or bleeding doesn’t start after two hours after taking misoprostol tablet, use the second dose of 4 pills. If bleeding still doesn't start after 2 hours, call your doctor. If you have severe abdominal pain, call your doctor immediately. Answer: If you don't pass clots or bleeding doesn't start after two hours of using misoprostol, then you can use the second dose of 4 pills. If you don't pass clots or bleeding doesn't start after two hours of using misoprostol, then you can use the second dose of 4 pills. The second dose of Mifepristone should be taken at home 24 hours after taking the first one (injections). You will have to follow up with your doctor if you need any kind of follow up care. Question 3: Can I use any painkiller during abortion (Cheap MTP Kit)? If you're in need of painkillers, there are several options. There are some medications that will help with nausea and vomiting, but these medications can also cause bleeding. Ibuprofen or aspirin are both good choices for mild aches or pains. However, do not use aspirin if you are taking other drugs (such as blood thinners). Ibuprofen is safe to take when used as directed; however it might interfere with birth control pills or hormone replacement therapy (HRT) in some women; consult a doctor before using this medication if either of these apply to you. Answer: Yes, you can take mild painkiller such as ibuprofen before and after the abortion (Cheap MTP Kit). Yes, you can take mild painkiller such as ibuprofen before and after the abortion. However, if you have a history of ulcers or stomach bleeding, talk to your doctor before taking any kind of medicine. Although ibuprofen is considered safe for most people to use during pregnancy, it should not be taken if you have kidney disease or are allergic to the drug (in rare cases). Question 4: Do I need to get a follow-up done after my abortion (Cheap MTP Kit) procedure is complete? You'll need to follow-up with your doctor after the abortion (Cheap MTP Kit). This is a standard procedure, and it's important for anyone who has an abortion to make sure that their procedure was successful. If there are any complications with the process of completing an abortion, you can be confident that they will be addressed immediately so that you can get on with your life without worrying about them. You may also have questions about post-abortion (Cheap MTP Kit) care or what happens next in terms of contraception choices; these topics will be covered in more detail below! Answer: Yes, follow-up visits are necessary to confirm that your abortion (Cheap MTP Kit) is complete. Yes, follow-up visits are necessary to confirm that your abortion is complete. You can use an ultrasound to confirm that the abortion is complete. The medical team will want to check in with you within 7 days after taking mifepristone if they haven't already done so at the clinic or hospital where you got pregnant. Conclusion If you have any questions about the abortion pill (Cheap MTP Kit), please feel free to contact our office. We are here to help.
Gain medium
In laser physics, the laser gain medium is the medium (usually in the form of a beam of light) that enhances the power of light. In lasers, this medium is required to compensate for the loss of the resonant cavity and is often referred to as the high energy laser medium. Gain media can also be applied to optical fiber amplifiers. Gain refers to the level of amplification. Since the gain medium increases the power of the amplified beam, the medium itself needs to receive the energy, i.e., through the pumping process, which generally progresses to either existing (electric pumping) or input light wave (optical pumping), and the pump wavelength is smaller than that of the signal light. Type of laser gain medium There are many types of gain media. The usual is: 1. Some direct bandgap semiconductors, such as GaAs, AlGaAs, and InGaAs, are usually pumped by electric currents in the form of quantum Wells (see semiconductor lasers). 2. Laser crystal or glass, such as Nd: YAG(neodymium-doped Yttrium aluminum garnet, see Yttrium aluminum garnet laser), Yb: YAG(Ytterbium-doped garnet laser), Yb: glass, Er: YAG(Erbium-doped YAG) or titanium sapphire, in solid sheet form (see doped lasers) or optical glass fiber (fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers). These crystals or glasses are doped with laser-active ions (mainly trivalent rare earth ions, which sometimes transfer metal ions) and pumped with light waves. Lasers using these media are often described as doped insulator lasers 3. Rare earth ions are usually added to ceramic gain media Laser dyes, usually liquid solutions, are used in color lasers Gas lasers utilize multiple gases or mixtures of gases, usually pumped by discharge tools (such as CO2 and excimer lasers) 4. The unique gain retarder consists of a chemical gain retarder (which converts chemical energy into light), a nuclear pump retarder, and an oscillator in a completely free electron laser (which transfers energy from a fast electron beam to a beam).
Jasa Cargo Jakarta ke Ambon (0816267079)
Jasa Cargo Jakarta ke Ambon Logistik Express merupakan perusahaan yang bergerak dibidang pengiriman barang dengan tujuan dari dan ke seluruh wilayah Indonesia. Logistik Express memiliki keunggulan pada tarif yang terjangkau serta pengiriman aman sampai alamat tujuan. Di era sekarang ini banyak dibutuhkan jasa pengiriman yang praktis dan dan efisien. Untuk itu Logistik Express hadir sebagai mitra pengiriman barang anda mulai dari paket kecil 30kg, 50kg, dan 100kg sampai hitungan tonase. Melayani pengiriman retail, LCL (Less Container Load), FCL (Full Container Load), dan sewa armada. KEUNGGULAN LAYANAN LOGISTIK EXPRESS Konsultasi online mudah via whatsapp Bisa request picked up kiriman Door to Door Service Pembayaran mudah via cash atau transfer Tarif terjangkau MACAM MACAM ARMADA PENGIRIMAN 1. Via Udara Jasa Pengiriman via udara banyak dipilih oleh para pengirim barang maupun penyedia jasa ekspedisi karena leadtime pengirimannya yang cepat dan efisien. Namun pengiriman via udara ini juga memiliki ongkir yang lebih mahal daripada pengiriman dengan armada via darat dan via laut. 2. Via Laut Cargo via laut ini kerap menjadi pilihan armada pengiriman barang karena jangkauannya yang luas. Armada cargo via laut ini dapat menjangkau pengiriman antar provinsi dan juga antar pulau. Jika anda menginginkan pengiriman yang aman namun tetap dengan ongkir terjangkau maka cargo via laut ini menjadi pilihan yang tepat untuk anda. 3. Via Darat Cargo via darat dengan armada kereta maupun truk cargo juga banyak dipilih oleh masyarakat yang ingin mengirimkan barang. selain ongkir yang terjangkau, cargo darat ini memudahkan para pengirim untuk melacak posisi barangnya. PEMESANAN LAYANAN CARGO LOGISTIK EXPRESS Hubungi Kami Untuk Konsultasi Dan Juga Layanan Kiriman Cargo Customer Service Yuni : 0816 2670 79 Email : yuni.logistikexpress.id@gmail.com Ekspedisi Jakarta Ambon, Maluku Ekspedisi Semarang Ambon, Maluku Ekspedisi Surabaya Ambon, Maluku Ekspedisi Bandung Ambon, Maluku Ekspedisi Tangerang Ambon, Maluku
Jasa Cargo Jakarta ke Langgur (0816267079)
Jasa Cargo Jakarta ke Langgur Logistik Express merupakan perusahaan yang bergerak dibidang pengiriman barang dengan tujuan dari dan ke seluruh wilayah Indonesia. Logistik Express memiliki keunggulan pada tarif yang terjangkau serta pengiriman aman sampai alamat tujuan. Di era sekarang ini banyak dibutuhkan jasa pengiriman yang praktis dan dan efisien. Untuk itu Logistik Express hadir sebagai mitra pengiriman barang anda mulai dari paket kecil 30kg, 50kg, dan 100kg sampai hitungan tonase. Melayani pengiriman retail, LCL (Less Container Load), FCL (Full Container Load), dan sewa armada. KEUNGGULAN LAYANAN LOGISTIK EXPRESS Konsultasi online mudah via whatsapp Bisa request picked up kiriman Door to Door Service Pembayaran mudah via cash atau transfer Tarif terjangkau MACAM MACAM ARMADA PENGIRIMAN 1. Via Udara Jasa Pengiriman via udara banyak dipilih oleh para pengirim barang maupun penyedia jasa ekspedisi karena leadtime pengirimannya yang cepat dan efisien. Namun pengiriman via udara ini juga memiliki ongkir yang lebih mahal daripada pengiriman dengan armada via darat dan via laut. 2. Via Laut Cargo via laut ini kerap menjadi pilihan armada pengiriman barang karena jangkauannya yang luas. Armada cargo via laut ini dapat menjangkau pengiriman antar provinsi dan juga antar pulau. Jika anda menginginkan pengiriman yang aman namun tetap dengan ongkir terjangkau maka cargo via laut ini menjadi pilihan yang tepat untuk anda. 3. Via Darat Cargo via darat dengan armada kereta maupun truk cargo juga banyak dipilih oleh masyarakat yang ingin mengirimkan barang. selain ongkir yang terjangkau, cargo darat ini memudahkan para pengirim untuk melacak posisi barangnya. PEMESANAN LAYANAN CARGO LOGISTIK EXPRESS Hubungi Kami Untuk Konsultasi Dan Juga Layanan Kiriman Cargo Customer Service Yuni : 0816 2670 79 Email : yuni.logistikexpress.id@gmail.com Ekspedisi Jakarta Langgur, Maluku Tenggara Ekspedisi Semarang Langgur, Maluku Tenggara Ekspedisi Surabaya Langgur, Maluku Tenggara Ekspedisi Bandung Langgur, Maluku Tenggara Ekspedisi Tangerang Langgur, Maluku Tenggara